Not only has Elon Musk's Department of Government Efficiency (D.O.G.E.) been shown to greatly exaggerate the savings it's generated, it will likely end up losing far more federal revenue than it saves.
Musk's cuts are not surgical, but reckless, typically just reducing staff sizes, a move that usually doesn't make a department more efficient.
The Internal Revenue Service, for example, is projecting a $500B shortfall in collected revenue as Musk cuts I.R.S. staff, particularly those in enforcement, that is roughly 10% of total taxes legitimately due. Reading the current mood of the taxpaying public, the I.R.S. fully expects a segment of the population to simply not file their taxes knowing the staff to audit or enforce tax laws has been considerably reduced.
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Adminstration (NOAA), of which the National Weather Service (NWS) is a part, forecasting hurricanes, tornadoes and forest fires, has a benefit to cost ratio of 24:1, while the NWS is projected to be at 72:1. NOAA's annual $13-14B effects savings 100-fold in terms, not only in lives saved, with warnings that allow citizens to get to safety before being overwhelmed by such natural disasters. In 2024, the U.S. experienced losses exceeding $1B in 27 separate events: 1 flooding event, 17 severe storms, 5 tropical cyclone events, 1 wildfire event and two winter storm events. (Again, damages exceeded $1B in each event.)
Musk has already cut 1,300 staffers from N.O.A.A., not to make the agency more efficient, but because the agency currently has oversight over space operations Musk wants to privatize.
Musk's primary focus, though, seems to be on making cuts to Social Security, Medicare and Medicaid, despite the fact that Trump has repeatedly promised not to do exactly that.
My thinking is that many MAGA adherents, will soon come face to face with how little Trump cares about their actual needs. Unfortunately, they've been conned, duped and tricked, but, now in town halls in Republican districts across the country, many are slowly coming to grips with the true cost of Trump 2.0 and they're not happy about it.
This is where the change will come, the White people protesting. Minorities have no say in this situation.
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